The widest gaps between goal difference and expected goal difference in the 2026 table, the positions most likely to be finishing luck.
Chicago Stars (16th): goal difference -40, expected goal difference -44.7
Seattle Reign (8th): goal difference +3, expected goal difference +0.6
Houston Dash (12th): goal difference -5, expected goal difference -6.1
The gap is a team’s goal difference less its expected goal difference over the season so far; the larger it is, the more the position rests on finishing rather than on chances.